Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.031485 0.034401 0.037336 0.040505 0.043824 0.047192 0.050861
2026-01-04 0.026694 0.030999 0.035477 0.040457 0.045818 0.051395 0.057615
2026-01-11 0.023432 0.028758 0.034459 0.040962 0.048123 0.055719 0.064342
2026-01-18 0.020834 0.026924 0.033619 0.041426 0.050189 0.059639 0.070520
2026-01-25 0.017498 0.023940 0.031228 0.039927 0.049881 0.060789 0.073522
2026-02-01 0.015276 0.022039 0.029892 0.039457 0.050585 0.062943 0.077533
2026-02-08 0.013538 0.020558 0.028915 0.039284 0.051526 0.065282 0.081678
2026-02-15 0.012711 0.020121 0.029116 0.040440 0.053959 0.069281 0.087676
2026-02-22 0.011849 0.019560 0.029106 0.041291 0.055994 0.072795 0.093098
2026-03-01 0.010904 0.018814 0.028806 0.041740 0.057514 0.075682 0.097779
2026-03-08 0.009931 0.017954 0.028303 0.041891 0.058637 0.078077 0.101867
2026-03-15 0.009389 0.017639 0.028466 0.042842 0.060705 0.081566 0.107217
2026-03-22 0.008181 0.016322 0.027287 0.042096 0.060717 0.082655 0.109812
2026-03-29 0.007426 0.015603 0.026860 0.042273 0.061843 0.085059 0.113952
2026-04-05 0.006895 0.015175 0.026796 0.042898 0.063508 0.088100 0.118840
2026-04-12 0.006377 0.014725 0.026673 0.043424 0.065036 0.090968 0.123522
2026-04-19 0.005273 0.013244 0.025041 0.041905 0.063946 0.090632 0.124360
2026-04-26 0.004587 0.012376 0.024227 0.041433 0.064149 0.091844 0.127027
2026-05-03 0.004047 0.011703 0.023656 0.041259 0.064712 0.093480 0.130192
2026-05-10 0.003897 0.011711 0.024087 0.042450 0.067033 0.097284 0.135980
2026-05-17 0.003681 0.011578 0.024294 0.043326 0.068943 0.100580 0.141155
2026-05-24 0.003385 0.011267 0.024212 0.043789 0.070306 0.103195 0.145504
2026-05-31 0.003047 0.010834 0.023923 0.043945 0.071257 0.105289 0.149214